When will they ever learn? The MSM financial journalists, I mean. The BoE hiked their interest rate by the expected 0.5% on Thursday. Conventional pundits who believe it is the news that drives the markets were totally flabbergasted by the market’s negative reaction to that
Sometimes, making trading profits is a breeze when forecasts are panning out and good trends established and targets met. You tend to feel you are a genius! And there are other times when promising trends are suddenly reversed and your best-laid plans go phut! In
I have just posted a new video on crude oil and how I am going about analysing the bear market rally that has been in force since December. But first, here is the very long term monthly chart giving perspective to today’s rather puny waves
Last time, I hope I convinced you that most of the conventional ideas on how markets work are simply wrong. For instance, I had the example last time that the gold price is not correlated with the dollar, except by accident. Most take on board
Only yesterday, we were greeted with the news that the IMF has just issued this pronouncement: “IMF issues bleak warning – global growth to fade”. Most of us know how wholly inaccurate forecasts from the IMF routinely are – remember the horrific crash predicted for
The most famous investor of today has to be Warren Buffett. His acolytes hang on his every word and try desperately to emulate his methods – and with their succes usually falling short in the process. When asked for his favourite time scale for holding
I believe we are very close – finally – to the big swoon in stock indexes most of us have been waiting for (some more patiently than others!) And I will lay out my updated case here, which I believe is stronger than ever. Last
In a previous post The Oil Price is Suddenly Hot News – Has it Topped?, I pointed to the manic extreme bullish posture of hedge funds in the crude oil bubble which was waiting for the pin to arrive. It duly arrived on Friday. It
Yes indeed, the surging oil price story is all over the media with forecasts for $100, $150 and I even saw one for $300 yesterday as they come out of the woodwork in a torrent. It appears everyone is finally on board the bull train
Hair-raising is the word for it – trading the US stock indexes I mean and is a day trader’s dream with daily Dow moves of many hundreds of pips. Yes, I sometimes engage in very short-term trading, but my main interest is in trading the
FLASH Overnight, we learned of the missile strikes in Syria by US, French and British forces on the evening of Friday the Thirteenth, so that date was very unlucky for some. Stock markets have been largely ignoring this foreseeable development in the volatile Middle East
