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Elliott Waves

Has the China Debt Bubble finally popped?

July 21, 2018 // 0 Comments

In the West, private, corporate and government debt is at record high levels. That is no secret.  All could be considered as bubbles.  But it is China that wins that race my a country mile.  I have lost track of the number of billions in debt in the Chinese system – estimates do vary, but it is undoubtedly very large.  And now, GDP growth in China is falling [...]

Has Buffett hit the Buffers?

June 23, 2018 // 0 Comments

The most famous investor of today has to be Warren Buffett.  His acolytes hang on his every word and try desperately to emulate his methods – and with their succes usually falling short in the process. When asked for his favourite time scale for holding a share, he famously replied: For Ever! And that approach has stood him (and his sidekick Munger) in good stead [...]

Stocks surge and cattle fly!

June 9, 2018 // 0 Comments

Many of us have been expecting a stock market crash for some time, but the reports of its death have been greatly exaggerated – at least since February.  While I believe that scenario will come to pass, in the meantime the rally continues, but on weak internals. And there are stark divergences between the major US indexes.  The Nasdaq and Russell 2000 – [...]

As I said, sentiment is supreme

May 27, 2018 // 0 Comments

In a previous post The Oil Price is Suddenly Hot News – Has it Topped?, I pointed to the manic extreme bullish posture of hedge funds in the crude oil bubble which was waiting for the pin to arrive.  It duly arrived on Friday. It matters not what the pundits chose to identify as the ’cause’ of the 5% crash.  The MSM is always full of plausible-sounding [...]

This is why market sentiment is supreme

May 19, 2018 // 0 Comments

Last time, I explained at length why your views are not nearly as important in forecasting the price path as that of the other traders.  Unless you have more funds available than hedge funds, central banks and governments put together, your trading will have precious little impact on the current price. So who sets the price? This is a common question among the [...]
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