January was a record-breaking month for shares (but not all) – just as was December, but in the opposite direction, of course. If you had taken a vacation in the winter sun in those two months you would have...
That was a terrific week for us. Last Friday October 12, I forecast that the current vigorous stock rally would top out at mid-week on Wednesday. And right on cue, the Dow made its high at 25,850 at am UK time. Most of us were awake to capture that in a short sale! And
Yesterday’s volatile stock market action was telling. For the first time in weeks, the Dow suffered a significant fall – but then recovered. The VIX Volatility Index was likewise volatile (sharp up and then sharp down) The news items...
It is always extremely hazardous forecasting when a manic bull trend is turning, especially in real time! As the famous philosopher and baseball legend Yogi Berra said “ It ain’t over till it’s over“. And the famous atomic physicist...
I half-jokingly posted the Barron’s 30,000 Dow cover as an example of the over-reaching and unrealistic manic bullishness of sections of the media towards the stock market – and total belief in the Trump Bump. But last week’s strong...
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times. It was the age of bullishness, it was the age of bearishness… (as Charles Dickens almost wrote). On Thursday, Carney unleashed his version of the Big Bazooka...
I have been ahead of the pack here – already talk this morning in the papers is of forming new political parties in the UK. As I forecast, this is playing into my theme of increasing social division (bear...
The German stock index has been in great favour from advisors wishing to play the EU recovery theme. And recent data appears to support this belief. But from a swing trading perspective, the recent rally has provided a gold-standard...