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Did you expect the unexpected?

March 10, 2018 // 0 Comments

There is one Golden Rule in trading I observe and that is: Always Expect the Unexpected. Although I have been bearish stocks since the January high, last week’s events gave me pause for the immediate downturn. Not only did North Korea appear to cosy up to Trump, but yesterday’s strong jobs data inspired a push to new highs for the move.  Both to me were [...]

Shares down hard – is a Deflationary Depression now inevitable?

February 3, 2018 // 2 Comments

Ever since the big crash of 2007 – 2009, I have been forecasting a deflationary depression for the global economy. I realise this is a very bold call.  Some would even say it is totally nuts given today’s ‘Goldilocks’ economy.. What could possibly go wrong?  But I believe the stage is now set for this monumental event to occur in the next few [...]

Is this a Head & Shoulders bottom in the euro?

March 18, 2017 // 0 Comments

Wednesday’s Fed rate hike and Thursday’s ECB hand-sitting produced some seemingly perverse moves in the dollar. The immediate action in the euro on Wednesday was to rally, despite the increased interest rate differential in the US’s favour.  Odd. Then on Thursday, Draghi did what he does best – nothing.  Some may have expected him to follow [...]

As forecast, EUR/USD is tricky right now

June 14, 2015 // 0 Comments

  Market Commentary I was away at the MoneyWeek Conference last week where I gave a talk entitled: “How I make profits in today’s volatile markets’. And just to emphasise the point that today’s markets are indeed extremely volatile, the firs two speakers had diametrically opposed views on the inflation/deflation debate! I was perhaps one of [...]

Weekly Wrap

May 9, 2015 // 0 Comments

  ANNOUNCEMENT I am having this website upgraded very soon with more features and a much easier to read format.  Watch out for more news! ______________ Market Commentary If you think forecasting financial markets is tough, try politics!  Until Thursday polling day here in the UK, all of the professional pollsters had Labour neck and neck with the Tories – [...]
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