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What will they decide to do, if anything?

December 17, 2013 // 0 Comments

In my WR, I wanted a new low in stocks for my final w5 down prior to a rally.  The gods were kind to me and right on cue, in Sunday night trading, the Dow did just that. So now we have a very interesting situation less than 48 hours away from the Fed announcement.  Volatility is increasing not just in stocks, and markets will remain nervous going into the late Wednesday [...]

Weekly Wrap

December 14, 2013 // 0 Comments

Bitcoins – the talk of the town currently – have rocketed from $12 a year ago to a recent high of $1200. Now that’s what I call a bull market!  Many are calling it a bubble, and who is to disagree? A Bitbubble perhaps?  Stories of early ‘investors’ suddenly finding they are rich proliferate the media.  This is s a sure sign that the [...]

Santa Rally, anyone?

December 12, 2013 // 0 Comments

  There is a great deal of uninformed rubbish written about the behaviour of US retail stock investors in the media (including seekingalpha.com).  Many are saying there is a wall of money in money market funds that is just itching to get into the stock market.  You always read such desperate rationalisations at the end of big bull markets.  It is what keeps the [...]

OK, will they or won’t they?

December 10, 2013 // 0 Comments

  “To taper or not to taper, that is the question” (thanks, William).  But do you know what – this question is almost redundant.  And do you know why?  It is because everyone is talking about what the Fed will do.  And when all eyes are pointing one way, the surpise comes from behind.  All the pundits are positioning the 17/18th Fed [...]

Weekly Wrap

December 7, 2013 // 0 Comments

  The non-farms are in for November and the unemployment rate is down to 7% from 7.2%.  Now everyone is proclaiming the end to QE – and the Fed will start tapering this month for sure.  That’s the line being handed out. If this is so, then why did the Dow rally almost 200 points yesterday and the Nasdaq make a new high?  As with all knee-jerk [...]
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