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Shares are on a cliff edge

April 7, 2018 // 0 Comments

Exciting, isn’t it?  Blink and you miss a 200-pip swing in the Dow! Yesterday’s action was particularly vigorous following Thursday’s strong relief rally with heavy and persistent selling.  The whipsaws are huge – and the potential for being on the wrong side of them is likewise very very high.  More capital is lost in conditions such as these. [...]

Tales from the Cryptos

March 30, 2018 // 0 Comments

Tales from the Crypt was a cult horror movie from 1972 and also a US TV series from 1989 to 1996.  The latter started with a panning shot down the stairs to the basement of the decrepit mansion.  And with a severe bear market in the crypto-currencies currently, they too are headed for the basement of horrors. I have long maintained that most, if not all, of the hundreds [...]

It’s impossible to time the market, isn’t it?

March 24, 2018 // 0 Comments

How many times have I read that pathetic statement from the pundits.  Of course, they mean they can’t do it, so it’s better to stay with stocks through a crash (!).  That is lazy thinking. But I have made my pretty long-ish career and reputation by doing just that – getting the imminent change of direction and timing right.  I am not saying that to [...]

The Fed will raise on Wednesday

March 17, 2018 // 0 Comments

US short term interest rates are still rising fast.  Last year, I noted this process was starting and suggested that the soaring stock market would one day soon take note. And on January 29, the Dow and S&P finally got the message.  Better late than never, I suppose. That sudden awareness resulted in the 13% mini-crash in February.  But, as is normal, the [...]

Did you expect the unexpected?

March 10, 2018 // 0 Comments

There is one Golden Rule in trading I observe and that is: Always Expect the Unexpected. Although I have been bearish stocks since the January high, last week’s events gave me pause for the immediate downturn. Not only did North Korea appear to cosy up to Trump, but yesterday’s strong jobs data inspired a push to new highs for the move.  Both to me were [...]
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