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The Fed will raise on Wednesday

March 17, 2018 // 0 Comments

US short term interest rates are still rising fast.  Last year, I noted this process was starting and suggested that the soaring stock market would one day soon take note. And on January 29, the Dow and S&P finally got the message.  Better late than never, I suppose. That sudden awareness resulted in the 13% mini-crash in February.  But, as is normal, the [...]

Did you expect the unexpected?

March 10, 2018 // 0 Comments

There is one Golden Rule in trading I observe and that is: Always Expect the Unexpected. Although I have been bearish stocks since the January high, last week’s events gave me pause for the immediate downturn. Not only did North Korea appear to cosy up to Trump, but yesterday’s strong jobs data inspired a push to new highs for the move.  Both to me were [...]

Are UK house prices about to fall hard?

March 6, 2018 // 0 Comments

Like most people, I follow the incredible story of UK house prices and their stratospheric ascent in recent years. As I have pointed out before, the chart since WWII shows a lovely five wave pattern Isn’t that pretty?  We are in the final fifth wave and when it tops – which should be very soon – the first A wave of an A-B-C decline will be something to [...]

Stocks are poised for another leg down

March 3, 2018 // 0 Comments

Last week, the Dow declined by 1,600 points in just four days. That was not quite the record of 2,400 points weekly decline earlier in February, but it was in the same direction – down.  I hope that gives a clue which direction the stock market is now headed. I managed to locate the high of the great bull market in January and also to pinpoint the relief rally high [...]

Do we have a Powell Call after the Yellen Put?

March 1, 2018 // 0 Comments

I am not a great options fan, but with the savage decline yesterday in US stock indexes – along with most other global indexes – following the new Fed chairman’s comments before Congress, I am asking if the new Fed broom has introduced a call option strategy in the market. Much was made of the Yellen Put between 2009 and 2017, whereby the Fed almost [...]
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