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Are all pension plans safe?

July 13, 2018 // 0 Comments

One of the dangerous drawbacks of Western-style ‘democracy’ is that in order to get elected, a political party has to promise more give-aways than the other guys.  The current boost here in the UK to the NHS is a case in point. Naturally, an increase in spending has to be financed by more borrowing or more taxes or both. When the economy is in the early [...]

Beanz meanz profits!

July 7, 2018 // 0 Comments

You don’t see this very often, but soybeans are making global headlines.  This very unassuming oil-seed has been thrust into the centre of the US-China trade wars.  And guess what?  There is a very active futures market in them at the Chicago Board of Trade – which means profit opportunities await (see later). Previously, China has been a huge importer from [...]

Has the IMF finally got it right – global growth to fade?

June 30, 2018 // 0 Comments

Only yesterday, we were greeted with the news that the IMF has just issued this pronouncement: “IMF issues bleak warning – global growth to fade”. Most of us know how wholly inaccurate forecasts from the IMF routinely are – remember the horrific crash predicted for the UK economy if they/we voted to leave the EU two years ago? With lashings of egg [...]

Has Buffett hit the Buffers?

June 23, 2018 // 0 Comments

The most famous investor of today has to be Warren Buffett.  His acolytes hang on his every word and try desperately to emulate his methods – and with their succes usually falling short in the process. When asked for his favourite time scale for holding a share, he famously replied: For Ever! And that approach has stood him (and his sidekick Munger) in good stead [...]

Have we reached peak optimism in stocks?

June 16, 2018 // 0 Comments

I believe we are very close – finally – to the big swoon in stock indexes most of us have been waiting for (some more patiently than others!)  And I will lay out my updated case here, which I believe is stronger than ever. Last week was pivotal for commodities.  Grains were clobbered hard (by the Trump/China spat fall-out).  But more crucially, Copper [...]
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