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Has the China Debt Bubble finally popped?

July 21, 2018 // 0 Comments

In the West, private, corporate and government debt is at record high levels. That is no secret.  All could be considered as bubbles.  But it is China that wins that race my a country mile.  I have lost track of the number of billions in debt in the Chinese system – estimates do vary, but it is undoubtedly very large.  And now, GDP growth in China is falling [...]

Are all pension plans safe?

July 13, 2018 // 0 Comments

One of the dangerous drawbacks of Western-style ‘democracy’ is that in order to get elected, a political party has to promise more give-aways than the other guys.  The current boost here in the UK to the NHS is a case in point. Naturally, an increase in spending has to be financed by more borrowing or more taxes or both. When the economy is in the early [...]

Beanz meanz profits!

July 7, 2018 // 0 Comments

You don’t see this very often, but soybeans are making global headlines.  This very unassuming oil-seed has been thrust into the centre of the US-China trade wars.  And guess what?  There is a very active futures market in them at the Chicago Board of Trade – which means profit opportunities await (see later). Previously, China has been a huge importer from [...]

Has the IMF finally got it right – global growth to fade?

June 30, 2018 // 0 Comments

Only yesterday, we were greeted with the news that the IMF has just issued this pronouncement: “IMF issues bleak warning – global growth to fade”. Most of us know how wholly inaccurate forecasts from the IMF routinely are – remember the horrific crash predicted for the UK economy if they/we voted to leave the EU two years ago? With lashings of egg [...]

Has Buffett hit the Buffers?

June 23, 2018 // 0 Comments

The most famous investor of today has to be Warren Buffett.  His acolytes hang on his every word and try desperately to emulate his methods – and with their succes usually falling short in the process. When asked for his favourite time scale for holding a share, he famously replied: For Ever! And that approach has stood him (and his sidekick Munger) in good stead [...]
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